This is a draft of my presentation for the think tank this summer on exploration of Enceladus and Europa for signs of life.
My background is in maths, philosophy and logic. So I wonder a bit what I am doing talking about astrobiology? Of course I'm interested in the subject as an amateur. It started when I wrote a couple of articles for my science blog on "Need for Caution for a Mars Sample Return" and "Ten reasons not to Live on Mars, Great Place to Explore". From which you can see that I don't hesitate about speaking my mind on controversial topics in the interests of sparking a good debate.
I got such an enthusiastic response that I wrote many other articles, then was a guest on David Livingston's "the Space Show" a couple of times and been answering questions on quora a great deal in this topic area of planetary protection issues, where I'm one of the top contributors for last year.
And that's about it. I'm no expert here, just someone who has read widely in the topic area. If I make any mistakes please don't hesitate to correct them. It seems the main way I contribute is by bringing a logical and philosophical and mathematical perspective to an area where there are many things that simply can't be sorted out by following the scientific method, as it involves both ethics and areas where our scientific knowledge is extremely incomplete.
Anway, I was delighted to hear about this think tank and accepted immediately. Enceladus is such an interesting place for exobiology, especially with the new results announced earlier this year. As well as that it gives us a wonderful opportunity to search for life with the minimal of planetary protection issues, which of course is an issue close to my heart.
So why is Enceladus so interesting?
Here is a photograph of two of its geysers. It is not an artist's impression:

Cassini first discovered them in 2005. Since then it's taken many photographs and flown through them several times. This is what we know about them
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101 geysers counted in 2014
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Typical vent is a hot spot of about 10 square meters.
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Geysers occur along fracture lines
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They contain ice crystals, methane, ammonia, and silica
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The silica tells us an astonishing amount about the conditions
From the silica we can deduce (Gabriel Tobie, March 2015 Nature):
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Enceladus subsurface sea has at most 4% salt - so not too salty for life
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It's pH is between 8.5 and 10 so moderately alkaline.
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Originates at an interface between rock and water at temperatures of 90 C
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pH on formation is greater than 8.5
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The silica particles probably get to the surface within a few months of formation at the vents, or at most years.
These conditions are almost identical to those in the "Lost City" hydrothermal vent in the mid Atlantic..
Figure 1: The Lost City hydrothermal field under the mid-Atlantic Ocean. The so called "white smokers" which create these carbonate towers:
In these conditions on the Earth, microbes are able to survive through various metabolisms including Anaerobic Oxidation of Methane, which doesn't require any oxygen dissolved in sea water. So it is an ecosystem, one of several now known, that's independent of the surface and not dependent on sunlight in any way. It's also been suggested as a possible place for abiogenesis, where life may have originated in the early Earth.
As well as that though, there are intriguing things about Enceladus. It seems to be losing an unsustainable amount of heat.
This heat map was taken by Cassini in 2008. In the centre of the region, temperatures were measured at up to 180 Kelvin (so about -90C). Which may not seem that hot but typical temperatures on the rest of the surface of Enceladus are 90 K. So it's heated up by around 90 K over its surroundings.

It is hard to make that work from the geology. When they add up all the possible heat sources from tidal heating, radioactive heating etc, still, the budget doesn't work out.
So the prevailing view at present seems to be that Enceladus is probably going through a phase when it releases more heat than normal from its interior. If so, it's unsustainable for geological timescales, but still, it may well be able to continue like this for some tens of millions of years.
If so, that has really interesting implications for astrobiology. Means that the subsurface ocean may be only a few tens of millions of years old. And before then was probably frozen for so long that there was no chance for life to survive through from any previous genesis of life in earlier oceans.
The other possibility is that it has some other heat source not yet known that adds to its budget and makes it sustainable long term. So may have a billions of years old ocean like Europa.
This next graph may not seem that interesting, just some dots on a straight line, but it is potentially quite huge in its implications.
This is from a paper which charted the growth in complexity in DNA. The author's insight was to measure only the "non redundant" DNA. So leaving out junk DNA and also duplicates such as extra redundant chromosones. Some microbes have far more DNA than humans. But if you do this correction, you find everything lies on a nice straight line in a log plot. And they expected, naturally enough, that the line would converge back to a zero at 4.5 billion years ago at the origin of the Earth.
But instead, this is what they found:

So, there are two ways to take this. One is to use the now respectable theory of Panspermia.
Perhaps life on Earth originated around another star. If asked to guess, you might suggest, perhaps the much more common orange dwarfs. It's a puzzle that life started on such a rare and short lived star as a yellow dwarf when it could have started on the much more numerous and equally habitable and longer lived and more stable orange dwarf stars.
So, what if it did start on a planet around an orange dwarf (or any other precursor star). Which passed through a collapsing gas cloud when the solar system was forming.
Or maybe later on, it passed through the forming solar system in a stellar nursery, when there was still a lot of material to bombard our orange dwarf's planets and transfer material to the young Earth?
Three-colour composite of the sky region of M 17, a H II region excited by a cluster of young, hot stars. A large silhouette disc has been found to the south-west of the cluster centre. The present image was obtained with the ISAAC near-infrared instrument at the 8.2-m VLT ANTU telescope at Paranal.
This means that it is possible that ancient life in our solar system could have a common origin with Earth life from a previous star like this.
The other way to take it though, is that it could just be that the evolution proceeds far more slowly once DNA is involved and all the error correction machinery etc of the modern cell.
Perhaps all that billions of years of evolution can happen in just a billion years or so, with the precursors to modern life, or due to special conditions that prevailed then.

Either way, the diagram helps us to see the huge gap in our understanding of biology.
Presumably the missing first half of this diagram has as many stages as the second half. Events as momentous as the development of cells with a nucleus (Eukaryotes), and creatures with a backbone, and of fish, of mammals and of ourselves. But we have no idea what they were.
Our experiments in laboratories only just edge in a bit from the left of this diagram. In between you have the vast area of "Don't know". Many theories, no data.
Another thing that suggests the same conclusion is the immense complexity of the modern cell, with its million chemicals all coming together in a complex dance. There is no way that could just form from chemicals without many intermediate steps.
RNA polymerase used to decode DNA to mRNA, present in all living cells.
Ribosome translating mRNA into a protein
Every cell of our body, and every cell of every living creature is using exactly the same process, and same DNA, same bases, same amino acids.
It's all rather "Heath Robinson" or "Rube Goldberg".
It works, and presumably is a good solution to the problems, but it is surprisingly complex, with details piled on details, parts of the "machinery" error correcting other parts, until you get something that works.
Also DNA is unstable at high temperatures, and doesn't form easily either. Most researchers think that early life went through a stage when it used RNA only. Or possibly, some other helix structure such as PNA which has a different backbone from DNA (or a whole alphabet soup" of other possible precursors such as TNA).
PNA

So what were the earliest cells like? What are the simplest possible cells?
Many experiments and researches but no hard data to ground any of it.
Some researchers at Los Alamos laboratory are exploring the potential size limits of a minimal biological system. Using PNA they have managed to create artificial life - in a computer this is, not in real life, that is only about 3 nm in diameter and 360 atoms.
Quantum mechanical self-assembly of artificial minimal living cells
Some researchers are working with Butschli droplets, a complex mixture of oils and other chemicals that behave rather like cells. Not suggesting that they are precursors of evolution, but just simple examples that work like protocells
Or more complex "behaviour"
That includes Rachel Armstrong and Martin Hanczyc:
Or there is the idea of an RNA world.
So general basic approaches of metabolism first or replication first. The protocells can "reproduce" in a way but imperfectly, just grow and then split.
So what could we find on Enceladus?
Well if the ocean is just a few tens of millions of years old, it could be right at the start of the graph, in the area of protocells or the simplest forms of life, maybe just a few tens of nanometers accross. Or it could be an RNA or PNA world in there. No metabolism but replicating chemicals. Or a primitive form of life.
So, then it is right towards the left of our diagram, helping fill in the huge gap in our understanding of abiogenesis.

But then - it could be way to the right. It might be a billions of years old ecosystem that has evolved through as many stages as our own. This is perhaps most likely for Europa with its oxygen rich ocean (as is now thought, through effects of ionizing radiation on the ice) and billions years old ocean. But could be the case for Enceladus also.
So then it could be anywhere to the right. Even, I would say, very speculatively and exercising a good dose of imagination - but there is nothing really to rule out the presence of intelligent life in these subsurface seas, as yet. A civilization in the oceans of the icy moons would not be expected to develop technology, like ours, without fire, and under conditions of high pressure, sealed from the surface by ice, they would probably be unaware of us and us of them, so far, anyway
That is not a serious suggestion, but it's possible. Or creatures as intelligent as octopuses or dolphins. This is just to say - that we don't know where it is on that graph. Could be anywhere from the far left all the way to the far right. Or even beyond the far right, evolved to some future possibility Earth life hasn't encountered yet.
But as well as that, it doesn't need to be on a linear progression with Earth life. Since DNA is so very particular, and "Rube Goldberg" or "Heath Robinson" in the way it works.
Imagine that you have been brought up in the African savannah - with its grasses and trees and elephants and antelopes. You've never seen a marsh or a forest, or a beach. All your life you've lived in a hut in the African Savannah, never traveled more than a few miles from your hut, and that's the only thing you've ever known.
Then one day someone takes you to the sea shore, with its fish, shellfish, seaweeds, and sea anemones, and perhaps they take you on a dive to see a coral reef.
A Blue Starfish (Linckia laevigata) resting on hard Acropora coral. Lighthouse, Ribbon Reefs, Great Barrier Reef. Photo by Richard Ling
XNA based life could be as different from DNA based life as the African Savannah is different from a coral reef. And imagine the new perspectives we might get if we can study it.
So - I see both of those possibilities as immensely interesting for exobiology. But they have major planetary protection issues. The life, if so very different from Earth life - could it be hazardous for us, or vice versa? How can we explore Enceladus without risking destroying the very thing we want to find out about?
So that's where the Enceladus geysers come in. But to frame this discussion, first we need the precautionary principle
Precautionary principle
When an activity raises threats of harm to human health or the environment, precautionary measures should be taken even if some cause and effect relationships are not fully established scientifically.
In this context the proponent of an activity, rather than the public, should bear the burden of proof.
The process of applying the Precautionary Principle must be open, informed and democratic and must include potentially affected parties. It must also involve an examination of the full range of alternatives, including no action
That principle was framed just for threats to human health so it only applies to sample return in this context.
But I think we need to use a similar approach also for forward contamination also, because Enceladus is of such value, anything we do there impacts on all future generations.
Even for humans or other beings who may live centuries from now, even millions of years from now, even ten million years from now, just a blink in the geological and evolutionary history of Enceladus or Europa.
They are only separated from us by time, and have rights, I think, just as we do to study Enceladus, and they may be able to learn things from it that we can't at this stage.
What would we think, if in the future, that we know that some centuries or a few thousand years earlier, in their very first exploration of the solar system, that humans introduced Earth life to an Enceladus ocean of protocells or XNA life?
Until we know more. It may be the most precious thing in our solar system, outside Earth, for all we know.
So - the main point there is it has to involve examination of the full range of alternatives including no action.
Which would probably work like researchers not drilling into Blood Falls until they are ready - a case of "no action for now, because we need to know more, or need improved technology".
Decision tree
So I see a progression here. Each step requires either a higher level of understanding, or more precautions.
If your understanding is good, you may not need much by way of precautions, and what precautions you take are effective. If your understanding is not so good you need many precautions and if it is poor, even elaborate precautions may not be enough.
So the levels are
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Clipper mission, collects at 7 km /sec
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Orbiter, down to 100 meters / sec (why I'm so enthusiastic about the proposal).
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Sample return, sterilized before return
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Surface mission, drilling into the ice
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Sample return unsterilized.
Europa Clipper
Planetary protection issues seem very low. Main one, to make sure it can't impact into the target body.
Enceladus Orbiter
Launches Jan 28 2023. (21 day launch window). Flies past Venus twice and Earth twice, reaches Saturn July 29th 2031. Enters Saturn with a six month orbit. Biggest delta v is the insertion into Saturn orbit.
Then it uses a sequence of flybys of the inner moons of Saturn to work its way in to Enceladus. First flies past Titan, Then Rhea, then Dione, then Tethys and finally Enceladus.
Several close encounters with each one. So a very interesting science mission on its own.
- "The Titan tour would include three flybys of Titan and would end with an encounter with Rhea.
- The Rhea tour would include 15 flybys of Rhea and would end with an encounter with Dione
- The Dione tour would include 10 flybys of Dione and would end with an encounter with Tethys.
- The Tethys tour would include 12 flybys of Tethys and would end with an encounter with Enceladus
- The Enceladus tour would include 12 engineering flybys and 10 science flybys of Enceladus and would end with Enceladus orbit insertion
Zero chance of back contamination of Earth and very small chance of contamination of Enceladus to work through.
In orbit around Enceladus with 100 meters / second impact of ice particles not just onto the aerogel, but onto the spacecraft itself. Could that dislodge microbes that still attached to the outside of the spacecraft - given that the plume itself falls back to Enceladus? What is the chance they could be viable and hit the planetary surface?
Lander on Enceladus
Here I differ from COSPAR and the "orthodox view" on this matter.
So, COSPAR's recommendation is of a 1 in 10,000 chance of contaminating the ocean of Enceladus for each mission.
And that's figured using a calculation from the initial bioload,
I argue we may need to be concerned even about dead DNA if it makes contact with an Enceladus ocean of protocells or very early life. And for living organisms, I'm not at all sure myself that the 1 in 10,000 is sufficient.
That's an ethical decision. You can't make that decision using the scientific method.
In case of Mars decision has already made, we have to accept a chance that we have already contaminated Mars, and hope that it is around the 1 in 1,000 level which was Carl Sagan's original aim when he chose his 1 in 10,000 per mission.
That's where the figure comes from, Carl Sagan having the aim that after 30 or 40 missions the chance should be less than 1 in 1,000 of contaminating Mars.
And it's just become a benchmark figure that is used in this topic area - with no scientific justification. Can't have because it is an ethical question.
For Enceladus we have not yet done any actions that could contaminate it. And I would argue myself that 1 in 10,000 is not enough. We shouldn't risk contaminating Enceladus for all future generations unless at a lower probability than that. Others will have other views. So that's an ethical judgement. Shouldn't be presented as anything else in my view.
What can we do.
So I think that there are two things we can do to greatly reduce the chance, maybe to the extent it is acceptable to everyone, even the likes of me.
So first idea is to completely sterilize the exterior of the ice mole so that it is 100% free of organics in any form. If we put it in an enclosure, then seems only the drill at the front and the nose of the icemole needs to protrude beyond it.
So is that possible?
Deep cleaning with super critical CO2 and CO2 snow
I don't know if this is an answer but gives an example for the sort of thing I'd be looking for here. Ref 1, ref 2
- CO2 a liquid at 100 atmospheres and 50 C.
- And then on release of pressure turns to snow and takes the dirt, organics, everything away leaving the surface dry.
- Mixed with Hydrogen peroxide and other chemical to increase effectiveness.
- Can be used even with sensitive electronics. Was used to clean usb drives in testing and they functioned afterwards.
- Surface is left with no trace of organics, not just with dead micro-organisms. Major plus!
Final sterilization with ionizing radiation
So this is the idea, after the mission is over, exterior sterilized, but the interior and electronics, especially the computer, protected by a protective layer.
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And I think telerobotics satellite servicing will soon be routine. Dextre is gradually step by step working towards satellite repair capabilities, as is Darpa Darpa aims to use teleroboics to fix satellites in GEO. Making this capability available for civilian use also. So that should completely safe for planetary protection so long as material is only transferred one way. And no chance of impact with Earth. So that then would simplify everything. No need to convince general public and ourselves that we have everything covered and that nothing can possibly escape containment. Because it is in GSO, or just above, obviously can't impact on the Earth. So we have: Simplification suggestion for sample return
If so that could be a low cost sample return from Enceladus. We don't need to build the receiving facility in orbit. The capsule needs to be returned with trajectory biasing, obviously not aerobraking in LEO, and need a way for it to get into HEO without close approaches to the Earth that endanger collision with the Earth. Once there in a stable orbit, then anyone who wants to can send their own robotic missions up there to study it. Don't even need anything to receive it there in advance, though obviously nearer the date you'd expect to send some spacecraft with equipment on board to rendezvous with it remotely and house the sample ready for remote telerobotic examination. Which can also be done in a vacuum with none of the complications of examining it back on Earth, trying to keep Earth life out of it. In Situ ExplorationHowever it might be that we can do a much better job of the sample return, including better design, if we know more about the sample. For instance if we find a protocell or newly evolved early form of life, we need to deal with a sample that is fragile and may be hugely demanding to return to Earth sufficiently intact to find out much more about it than we can learn in situ. And many need to be kept under conditions of liquid water and pressure, correct pH and correct salinity to return it relatively intact. While if we find a microbe with a UV and ionizing radiation resistant dormant state, then we may not need to do too much to return it intact, but may be best then to keep it dry because then it is in a resistant dormant state and can be revived in HEO. Just to give a couple of examples. In Situ capabilitiesThere are many instruments developed for Mars. Whether they can be used as is for Enceladus, or need more modification, this shows the range of instruments we can send. And I've no idea about the engineering challenge, to examine materials captured in an aerogel "in situ". Anyway here are some of the instruments we can send:
There are many instruments like this we could send, and several of them already space qualified but never flown. I also wonder about an optical microscope. Why not send, not just a "geologist's hand lens" but a diffraction limited optical microscope? With resolution of 200 nm. It could tell us things about the behaviour and structure of micro-organisms or protocells we might not be able to find out by other methods. Ideally you want to see the structure of protocells if they exist, and other sub-optical limit structures, so I do wonder also about the microscopes that go beyond the diffraction limit, but I'd have thought they are probably too complex to send into space? Probably won't verify life or protolife unless it is actually still viable and active. But could give interesting data in combination with the other instruments. I suggest we send as many different ways of examining the potential life as is practical and feasible. So then they can cross-check with each other and produce a complete picture. In the case of the Viking labelled release, there were only two other instruments to compare it with. If we had several instruments, that would surely increase the chance of getting collaborated observations with two or more instruments observing the same thing in different ways. And if we have a duplicate orbiter for Europa, can examine both the same way. Whole generations of astrobiologists have had a multitude of ingenious and carefully designed and thought out ideas for instruments to send to space, but never seen any of these instruments fly. So far, nobody, world wide, has had a life detection instrument fly to another place outside the Earth since the 1970s. ExoMars will be the first true opportunity, and its capabilities are, though interesting, by no means exploring the full range of what can now be done by in situ exploration. Just to have their instruments fly on an interesting mission like this would surely invigorate the field.
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