Einstellung Baby! Why Experts Fail

Einstellung Baby! Why Experts Fail

When you woke up this morning were you an expert water measurer? No? Well, you will be after reading this article. But that might not be a good thing: experts are sometimes worse off than regular…
The Brain on Stories

The Brain on Stories

In my last post I wrote about how Hedge Fund managers base their choices on “stories” they weave with the information they gather. If you believe in rationality and evidence based thinking, the…
Hedge Fund Managers, Uncertainty and Storytelling

Hedge Fund Managers, Uncertainty and Storytelling

My last post got me thinking a bit more about uncertainty and decision making. It reminded me of a podcast I had listened to a while back, on uncertainty, storytelling and hedge fund managers. It is…
The Logic of Illogical Optimism

The Logic of Illogical Optimism

I was on the phone the other night with a friend. She is in a bit of bind. Every conversation we’ve had recently, we’ve been doing the same thing. We analyze every minutiae of her situation, as women…
The Logic of Illogical Optimism

The Logic of Illogical Optimism

I was on the phone the other night with a friend. She is in abit of bind. Every conversation we’ve had recently, we’ve been doing the samething. We analyze every minutiae of her situation, as women…