Can A Numerical Model Predict Geopolitics?

Can A Numerical Model Predict Geopolitics?

Numerical models had a tough decade to start off the 2000s.  A field that had shown itself to be both scientific and applied in areas like semiconductor physics was extrapolated out to cultural…
Homo Stupidus

Homo Stupidus

You are in a game with one hundred other players. They don't know you, you don't know them, and you can not communicate with any of them. The game is called 'even/odd(s)' and is explained to you as…
Once in 737,000

Once in 737,000

Once in 737,000 times. That's how frequently happens what I saw yesterday evening, playing poker with my kids.  We were playing with eights and up since we were three, so 28 cards. And Filippo…
Large Scale Structure of an Alter Ego Universe.

Large Scale Structure of an Alter Ego Universe.

Max Tegmark calculated a Really Big Number1 (RBN). It represents the probability of you having an identical Alter Ego (AE) at some other place than where you are now. This distance is so vast, it is…
The Say Of The Week

The Say Of The Week

"A blind use of tail-area probabilities allows the statistician  to cheat, by claiming at a suitable point in a sequential  experiment that he has a train to catch. This must have been…
Finding Alice In The Quaternion Looking Glass

Finding Alice In The Quaternion Looking Glass

In later posts, I want to critique Joy Christian's claim that his counter-example to Bell'sTheorem is “real” (maybe it is, but I suspect not, and will work that out later), but first we have to…